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Geodeco S.p.A. - Personnel - Paolo Bazzurro


Paolo Bazzurro


Dott. Ing., Ph.D.

Seismic Hazard and Risk Analysis


education: Ph.D. in Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford University Stanford, California, USA
M.S. in Civil Engineering, Stanford University Stanford, California, USA
Laurea in Civil Engineering, University of Genoa, Genoa, Italy
registration: Ordine degli Ingegneri della Provincia di Genova (Professional Engineer
License, Province of Genoa, Italy) since November 1987.
affiliations: Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (EERI), Oakland, CA.
Seismological Society of America (SSA), El Cerrito, CA.
American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE).
Structural Engineering Institute (SEI)
languages: Italian, English
awards: - Graduated with perfect score and honours, Department of Civil Engineering, University of Genoa,  Italy.
- Awarded one of five fellowships in engineering offered by the Italian National Science and Foundation (Centro Nazionale delle Ricerche,  C.N.R.) in 1992.
- Co-author of the Earthquake Spectra article that received the EERI 1998 Outstanding Paper Award.
- Selected by Earthquake Engineering Research Institute as the damage reconnaissance team leader to investigate the effects of the Molise Earthquakes of October 31, November 1 2002.


EXPERIENCE

Stanford University, Stanford, CA

Consulting Assistant Professor (part-time)(2001-2003)
  • Participated in the PEER/PG&E-funded Advanced Seismic Assessment Guidelines project aiming at establishing modern guidelines for assessing operability of PG&E buildings after an earthquake.
Research Assistant (1990– 1993, 1995-1998)
  • Developed theory and applications of probabilistic methodologies to engineering problems, such as:

    • estimation of seismic damage in nonlinear structures (forerunner of both the SAC project and current PEER work in performance-based engineering),

    • ground motion amplification at the surface of nonlinear soil columns (adopted by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission as recommended technique for site-specific seismic hazard assessment of nuclear power plants),

    • seismic hazard disaggregation for identification of earthquake scenarios (procedure adopted by the U.S. Geological Survey in their National Seismic Hazard Mapping Project website) and

    • vector-valued seismic hazard assessment (currently considered for use in PEER work and future implementation by USGS).

    • hazard and risk assessment based on the novel concept of environmental contours, an approach that is based on inverse of First and Second Order Reliability Methods (FORM and SORM), with applications to earthquake and ocean wave and current hazard and risk estimation.

The assistantship was awarded by the Reliability of Marine Structures (RMS) Program directed by Prof. C. Allin Cornell. (Supporting Agencies: Mineral Management Service, Southern California Earthquake Center) at Stanford University.

Geodeco S.p.A. (Consulting Engineers), Genoa, Italy (1998-present).

Associate and Director
  • Developed the methodology for a research project partly founded by the Ministry of the University and of the Scientific Research (MURST) on regional PSHA studies (e.g., regional seismic hazard assessment for Northwest Italy).

  • Technical Advisor for the soil amplification studies performed for four nuclear power plant sites in Switzerland performed for the PEGASOS project.

  • Technical Advisor for probabilistic seismic hazard analyses and structural dynamics.


AIR Worldwide Corporation, San Francisco, CA (2001-present).

Manager, Engineering Analysis, Head of the AIR San Francisco Office
  • Site-specific estimation of damage and losses on structures subject to seismic ground motions (e.g., Metreon Building in San Francisco for Sony Co.), 2002.

  • Project manager of four seismic risk analyses performed for General Motor’s plants in Japan, Mexico, Colombia, and Venezuela, 2001-2002.

  • Principal investigator (PI) of a PEER-funded project on Parameterization of Non-Stationary Acceleration Time History (2002).

  • PI of the Addendum to the PEER-funded project on Parameterization of Non-Stationary Acceleration Time History (2003).

  • PI of a USGS-funded project on Correlation of Damage of Steel Moment-resisting Frames to a Vector-valued Ground Motion Parameter Set That Includes Energy Demands, 2003-2004.

  • PI of the research project co-funded by COSMOS and USGS on Effects of Strong Motion Processing Procedures on Time Histories, Elastic and Inelastic Spectra, 2004.

  • Co-PI of the EERI-funded Research Study on Damage Data on Italian Masonry and Concrete Buildings – Effect of Construction Type on Seismic Performance, 2004.

  • Technical Project Manager of the study: “Recompiling, Analyzing, Quantifying and Modeling the Seismic Risk of the United Mexican States” for Banco Nacional de Obras y Servicio Publicos (BANOBRAS). This project provides the necessary technical background to the Mexican Ministry of Finance, Ministry of the Interior, and Ministry of Expenditures for issuing $300-500M USD of “catastrophe bonds” for emergency loss relief after major earthquakes, 2004.

  • PI of the PEER Lifelines soon-to-be-funded multi-year project for the Seismic Risk Assessment of the High-Voltage Power Distribution Network of Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E), 2004-2006.

EW Blanch/K2 Technologies, Inc., San Josè, CA (1999-2001).

Principal Engineer
  • Contributed to developing and improving the methodology for loss estimation of large portfolios of properties due to natural hazards (earthquakes, hurricanes, and tornadoes).

ISEC, Inc., San Francisco, CA (1996-1999)

Engineer Consultant & Senior Staff Engineer
  • Led the hazard/damage/loss assessment in many high-profile site- and structure-specific projects both onshore (e.g., the Pacific Bell baseball stadium in San Francisco, two Sun Microsystems campuses in California and in Colorado, the Pier 39 including superstructures and parking garage in San Francisco, the YMCA Central building in San Francisco, the Xicor semiconductor headquarter in Milpitas, CA) and offshore (the Unocal Chirag 1 offshore platforms in the Caspian Sea).

  • Developed the methodology for assessing the likelihood of business interruption and the risk of material damage and financial losses due to hurricane surge for the Chevron refinery located at Pascagoula, MS. The approach used a combination of risk and decision analysis procedures aiming at the selection of the most cost-effective remediation strategy.

D’Appolonia Engineering Consulting, S.p.A., Genoa, Italy (1987-1990; 1993-1995)

Project Engineer & Project Manager
  • Contributed to static, dynamic, fatigue, and thermal analyses of several structures such as buildings, offshore platforms (for AGIP), war tanks (for Oto Melara), parts of military airplanes (for Alenia), automobiles (for FIAT), European Space Agency satellites (including the European Spacelab and the Tethered Satellite), earth dams (e.g. Vetto, Italy) and piers of industrial ports (e.g., Jijel, Algeria).

  • Project engineer and project manager of 15 probabilistic seismic hazard assessment studies for different on-shore (including the study for the town of Venice and its lagoon) and offshore sites in Italy, Egypt, and Indonesia. The latter studies where performed for the design/requalification of offshore platforms and were performed for Agip, Total and British Petroleum.

  • Project Manager and Principal Engineer of the BREU-5935 RESTRUCT project funded by the European Community on requalification of offshore platforms, bridges, and power plants.

  • Project engineer in a risk analysis of ship collision for the Zeepipe Pipeline installation in the North Sea (for SnamProgetti).

  • Led as a principal engineer the transportation modeling project “Rome year-2000”, aimed at evaluating and accommodating the tourist impact on the railway-road-metro transportation network in Rome for the year 2000 Jubilee.

INVITED LECTURER OR SPEAKER (1992-2004)

  • Course on Stochastic Structural Load Models and Nonlinear Dynamic Response offered to Ph.D Students at University of Ålborg, Dept. of Building Technology and Structural Engineering, Denmark, August, 1992.

  • Special Industry Course on Structural Reliability (Topic of lectures: Assessment of Structural Response subject to Stochastic Extreme Loads) offered to engineers and scientist of AGIP, S.p.A (Milan, Italy), March, 1994.

  • Short course on “Environmental Contours: A Tool for Prediction of Extreme Responses”, offered to Ph.D. Students and Faculty at the Federico II University of Naples, September, 2002.

  • Short course on “Earthquake Risk Assessment and Earthquake-Resistant Design”, offered to Graduate Students at Fachhochschule Regensburg University of Applied Sciences, Regensburg, Germany, December, 2004.

  • Invited Speaker at Workshop on Multi-Disciplinary Approach to Seismic Risk, Topic of the Presentation: “Advanced Seismic Risk Analysis for Strategic Structures”, Sant’Angelo dei Lombardi, Avellino, Italy, September, 2003.

  • Invited Speaker at Workshop on Strong_Motion Record Processing, Convened by The Consortium of Organizations for Strong-Motion Observation Systems (COSMOS), Topic of the Presentation: “Effects of Strong Motion Processing Procedures on Time Histories, Elastic and Inelastic Spectra”, Richmond, CA, May, 2004.

  • Invited Speaker at 2004 PCS Catastrophe Conference, Challenges from Coast to Coast”, Topic of the Presentation: “Loss Scenarios for California Earthquakes”, Long Beach, CA, April, 2004.

REVIEWER AND TECHNICAL EDITOR FOR JOURNALS
  • Reviewer for Bulletin of Seismological Society of America (BSSA)

  • Reviewer for Earthquake Spectra

  • Reviewer for Journal of Seismology

  • Editor of special Earthquake Spectra Volume on the Molise Earthquakes of October 31 - November 1, 2002, published in August 2004.


PUBLICATIONS

International Journals

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (2004). ``Ground Motion Amplification in Nonlinear Soil Sites with Uncertain Properties”, Bulletin of Seismological Society of America (B.S.S.A.), Vol. 94, No. 6, December.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (2004). ``Nonlinear Soil Site Effects in Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis”, Bulletin of Seismological Society of America (B.S.S.A.), Vol. 94, No. 6, December.

Bazzurro, P. and N. Luco (2004). ``Inelastic Structural Responses to Elastic-Spectrum-Matched and Amplitude-Scaled Earthquake Records”, submitted to Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, June.

Bazzurro, P. and N. Luco (2004). ``Beyond Spectral Quantities to Improve Structural Response Estimation”, submitted to Earthquake Engineering and Structural Dynamics, June.

Maffei, J., and Bazzurro, P. (2004). ``The 2002 Molise, Italy, Earthquake”, Earthquake Spectra, Vol. 20, No. S1, August.

Decanini, L., De Sortis, A., Goretti, A., Liberatore, L., F. Mollaioli, and Bazzurro, P. (2004). ``Performance of Reinforced Concrete Buildings During the 2002 Molise, Italy, Earthquake”, Earthquake Spectra, Vol. 20, No. S1, August.

Bazzurro, P. (2002). “Risk Management: Corporate Quakes”, Global Reinsurance, July/August, pp. 20-22.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (2001). “Vector-valued Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (abst)''. Seismological Research Letters, Vol. 72, No.2, March/April, p.273.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1999). “Probabilistic Soil Amplification for Nonlinear Soil Deposits with Uncertain Properties (abst)''. Seismological Research Letters, Vol. 70, No. 2, pp. 224-225, March/April.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1999). ``Disaggregation of Seismic Hazard''. Bulletin of Seismological Society of America (B.S.S.A.), Vol. 89, No. 2, April, pp. 501-520.

Shome, N., Cornell, C.A., Bazzurro, P., and J.E. Carballo (1998). ``Earthquakes, Records, and Nonlinear MDOF Responses'', Earthquake Spectra, Vol. 14, No. 3, August, pp. 469-500.

Bazzurro, P., Shome, N., Cornell, C.A., and J.E. Carballo (1998). ``Three Proposals for Characterizing MDOF Non-linear Seismic Response''. Journal of Structural Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 124, No. 11, pp. 1281-1289, November.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1998). ``Disaggregation of Seismic Hazard (abst)''. Seismological Research Letters, Vol. 69, No. 2, p.154, March/April.

Bazzurro, P., Cornell C.A., Diamantidis D., and G.M. Manfredini (1996). ``Seismic Damage Hazard Analysis for Requalification of Nuclear Power Plant Structures: Methodology and Application'', Journal of Nuclear Engineering and Design, NED 160/3, pp. 321-332, Elsevier.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1994). ``Seismic Hazard Analysis of Non-Linear Structures. I: Methodology'', Journal of Structural Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 120, pp. 3325-3344, November.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1994). ``Seismic Hazard Analysis of Non-Linear Structures. II: Applications'', Journal of Structural Engineering, ASCE, Vol. 120, pp. 3345-3365, November.

Conferences and Workshops

Pelli F., Mangini M., Bazzurro P., Eva C., Spallarossa D., Barani S.,  (2006), “Psha in northern italy accounting for non-linear soil behaviour and epistemic uncertainty”, First European Conference on Earthquake Engineering and Seismology (1st ECEES). 

Pelli F., Mangini M., Bazzurro P.  (2006), “A simplified approach for site amplification assessment in non-linear soil deposits”, Third International Symposium on the Effects of Surface Geology on Seismic Motion, Grenoble, France. 

Goulet C. A., Stewart J. P., Bazzurro P., Pelli F. (2006), “Integration of ground response analysis results into probablistic assessment of site specific ground shaking potential”, Third International Symposium on the Effects of Surface Geology on Seismic Motion, Grenoble, France.

Pelli F., Mangini M., Bazzurro P.  (2006), “An example of  multidisciplinary-automated approach to probabilistic seismic hazard assessment”, Interdisciplinary Workshop on Management of Earthquake Risks, ETH Zurich, Switzerland.

Bazzurro P., Pelli F., Mangini M., Goulet C., and J. P. Stewart (2006), “Statistics of Nonlinear Ground Motion Amplification Functions for NEHRP Soil Categories “, Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC), 2006 Annual Meeting, Palm Springs CA, abstract e poster.

Pelli F., Mangini M., Bazzurro P. (2006), "Non-linear site response analyses for two nuclear power plant sites considering cyclic mobility effects", Eighth U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, S. Francisco.

Bazzurro, P., Cornell, C.A., Menun, C., and M. Motahari (2004). “Guidelines for Seismic Assessment of Damaged Buildings”, Proceedings of 13th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Paper 1708, Vancouver, Canada, August 1-6.

Luco, N., Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (2004). “Dynamic versus Static Computation of the Capacity of a Mainshock-Damaged SMRF Building to withstand an Aftershock”, Proceedings of 13th World Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Paper 2405, Vancouver, Canada, August 1-6.

Bazzurro, P., Sjoberg, B., Luco, N., Silva, W., and R. Darragh (2004). “Effects of Strong Motion Processing Procedures on Time Histories, Elastic and Inelastic Spectra”, Proc. Invited Workshop on Strong-Motion Record Processing, Convened by COSMOS, Richmond, CA, May 26-27.

Pelli, F., Mangini, M., Bazzurro, P., and D. Spallarossa, (2004). “Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Mapping with Site Amplification Effects”, Proceedings of 11th International Conference on Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering (ICSDEE), Vol. 2, pp. 230-237, Berkeley, California, January 7-9.

Goretti, A., DeSortis, A., Spina, D., Pelli, F., F. Santinelli, and Bazzurro, P. (2004). “Propagazione e Condizionamento delle Incertezze negli Edifici IACP di Bonefro Colpiti dal Sisma di Molise Puglia del 2002. Analisi Preliminari”, Proceedings of XI Congresso Nazionale “L’ingegneria Sismica in Italia”, Genoa, Italy, January 25-29.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (2002). “Vector-valued Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (VPSHA)''. Proceedings of 7th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Boston, MA, July 21-25, Paper No. 61.

Bazzurro, P., Spallarossa, D., and C. Eva, (2000). ``Probabilistic seismic hazard analysis of North-Western Italy with uncertain input parameters”, 270 ESC General Assembly, Lisbon, September 10-15.

Bazzurro, P., Cornell, C.A., and F. Pelli (1999). ``Site- and Soil-specific PSHA for Nonlinear Soil Sites'', Proceedings of 2nd International Symposium on Earthquake Resistant Engineering Structures -- ERES99, WIT Press Publisher, Southampton, UK, Paper No. 27214, 15-17 June, Catania, Italy.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1998). ``Environmental Contours for Seismic Hazard Assessment''. Proceedings of 11th European Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Paris, France, September 6 - 11, 1998.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1998). ``Spatial Disaggregation of Seismic Hazard''. Proceedings of 6th U.S. National Conference on Earthquake Engineering, Seattle, WA, May 31 - June 4, Paper No. 242.

Bazzurro, P., Winterstein, S.R., Ude T.C., and C.A. Cornell (1996). ``Magnitude-Distance Contours for Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis'', Proceedings of ASCE Specialty Conference on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Worcester, MA, August 7-9.

Winterstein, S.R., Ude, T.C., Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1996). ``Ocean Environmental Contours for Structural Response Analysis and Experiment Design''. Proceedings of ASCE Specialty Conference on Probabilistic Mechanics and Structural Reliability, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, Worcester, MA, August 7-9.

Bazzurro, P., Manfredini G.M., Varosio G., and G. Uguccioni (1996). ``Seismic Qualification of Existing Pipeline Systems'', Proceedings of OMAE Conference, Florence, Italy.

Bazzurro, P., Manfredini G.M., and I. Diaz Molina (1995). ``Applications of Seismic Damage Hazard Analysis for the Qualification of Existing Nuclear and Offshore Facilities'', Proceedings of 3rd International Conference in Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology, (SMiRT), Post SMiRT - 13 Seminar 16 (ATS), August 21-23, Iguazu, Argentina, 1995.

Bazzurro, P., Cornell C.A., G.M. Manfredini, and N.R. Vaidya (1994). ``Probabilistic Seismic Requalification of Nuclear Power Plant Structures'', Proceedings of the ASME PVP Conference, June 19-23, Minneapolis, MN.

Bazzurro, P., Cornell C.A., Pelli F., and G.M. Manfredini (1994). ``Stability of Sloping Seabed, Seismic Damage Hazard Analysis: Methodology and Application'', Proceedings of the 3rd Symposium on Strait Crossings, June 12-15, Ålesund, Norway.

Bazzurro, P., Cornell C.A., Diamantidis D., and G.M. Manfredini (1993). ``Requalification of Nuclear Power Plant Structures, Seismic Damage Hazard Analysis: Methodology and Application'', Proceedings of the 12th International Conference in Structural Mechanics in Reactor Technology, (SMiRT), August 15-20, Stuttgart, Germany.

Bazzurro, P., and C.A. Cornell (1992). ``Seismic Risk: Non-linear MDOF Structures'', Proceedings of the 10th World Conference in Earthquake Engineering, Madrid, Spain.

Bazzurro, P., Righetti, G., and C. Vardanega (1992). ``TESS an Expert Scheduling System for Optimization and Management of a Railway Network Service’’, Proceedings of International Conference in Artificial Intelligence Applications in Transportation Engineering, San Buenaventura, CA.

Bazzurro, P., Carpaneto, R., Zuccarelli, F., and M. Tominez (1990). ``Ship Collision Risk in Marine Operations'', Proceedings of Convegno Nazionale di Ricerca Navale e Marina, NAV'90, Ancona, Italy.

Bazzurro, P., Diamantidis, D., Manfredini, G., and F. Zuccarelli (1990). ``Probabilistic Design Aspects for Deep Water Concrete Offshore Structures'', Proceedings of the 4th International Symposium on Integrity of Offshore Structures, IOS'90, Glasgow.

Bazzurro P., Diamantidis, D., and G. Ferro (1989). ``Applicability of the First-Order Reliability Methods (FORM) - A state of the art'', Proceedings of the 6th Eurodata Conference, Siena, Italy.


Theses, Dissertations, and Reports

Bazzurro, P., and Luco, N. (2004). ``Parameterization of Non-Stationary Acceleration Time Histories”, PEER Report, Addendum to Task 1G00, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, October.

Bazzurro, P., Cornell, C.A., Menun, C., Luco, N., and Motahari, M. (2004). “Advanced Seismic Assessment Guidelines”, PEER Lifelines Program, Task 507, Report prepared for Pacific Gas & Electric (PG&E)/PEER, September.

Luco, N., Bazzurro, P., Baldava, S., and L. Manuel, L (2004). ``Correlation of Damage of Steel Moment-Resisting Frames to a Vector-valued Ground Motion Parameter Set that Includes Energy Demands”, Prepared for U.S.G.S., Grant No. 03HQGR0057, October.

Bazzurro, P., and Luco, N. (2003). ``Parameterization of Non-Stationary Acceleration Time Histories”, PEER Report, Task 1G00, University of California at Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, October.

Bazzurro, P. (1998). ``Probabilistic Seismic Demand Analysis''. Ph.D. Dissertation, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, August.

Bazzurro, P. (1993). ``Seismic Hazard Analysis of Nonlinear Structures with Application to Jacket-type Offshore Platforms'', Engineer Degree Thesis, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, March.

Bazzurro, P., and L. Stabilini (1987). ``Applicazione del Principio della Massima Entropia all'Analisi Affidabilistica con Informazioni Incomplete'', Italian M.S. Thesis, University of Genoa, Italy.













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